WrapManager's Wealth Management Blog

When life changes, we can help you thoughtfully respond.

Thinking of Changing Your Portfolio Strategy? Read this First

Posted by Michael J. O'Connor | CWS®, Vice President Investments

September 1, 2015

The last few years have been fairly “steady as she goes” for the U.S. stock market—the bull market had gone over 1,400 calendar days without a 10% correction, which marked the third longest such streak in half a century.1 But that changed very quickly from August 18 – 25, when the market fell over 11% in just six trading days.2 The steepness of the drop and its rapid onset left many investors concerned, perhaps even wondering if this was the beginning of another prolonged downturn like 2008.

If you’re considering making changes to your portfolio out of concern over the volatility, or for one of the four reasons below, we’d encourage you to take a moment to gain some perspective before making a big change. If your long-term goals have not changed, but you are considering making significant changes to your asset allocation, there is a chance emotion may be getting in the way. 

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Portfolio Strategy

Cambiar Investors Commentary - China, Greece, and Interest Rates

August 27, 2015
Cambiar Investor's Q2 2015 market commentary discusses China, interest rates, and what it all means so far this year.  "The Waiting Game Financial market returns were quiet in the second quarter, seemingly waiting for some kind of definitive signal that never arrived. The S&P 500 Index, MSCI EAFE Index, and MSCI Emerging Markets Index were each essentially flat for the quarter, with relatively limited volatility. The former two had each about a 3% gain going into the last 10 days of the quarter, but surrendered their gains as Greece threatened (for the fifth time in as many years) an uncontrolled debt default and exit from the Euro system. The Greek's gamesmanship was once again cauterized by international financial agencies only after the Greeks were very bluntly threatened back with the same medicine. This suggests that European authorities are no longer concerned that a Greek Eurozone exit would be a systemically destabilizing event. [+] Read More

Medicare Changes and Your Retirement Plan

August 26, 2015
Back in 2013, we wrote about the differences between Medicare Parts A and B, as well as supplementary coverage options to help readers with their retirement planning. Given recent legislative changes to Medicare, we feel it’s time to revisit the topic. Discussing medical costs and coverage with your financial advisor is wise because medical costs can constitute a sizable portion of post-retirement budgets. As changes are made to programs like Medicare, it’s important to stay abreast of developments and integrate changes in to your wealth planning strategy. One of the difficult aspects of planning for the future is trying to anticipate unknowns such as medical costs. You never know if you’ll enjoy perfect health in the coming year or if you’ll find yourself at the doctor’s office frequently. Insurance like Medicare helps to temper the risk of the unknown, but you should still be prepared for out-of-pocket costs. [+] Read More

Brookmont Capital Dividend Equity Strategy Commentary

August 25, 2015
Brookmont Capital's Dividend Equity Strategy provides their Second Quarter report covering perspective on foreign markets, more assumptions on interest rates and how they positioned their portfolio in response.  “The markets struggled to move higher during the second quarter due to a conflux of bad news from foreign markets and earnings disappointments from several domestic companies. The markets took their biggest hit during the month of June as fears about Greece, China’s economy, and second quarter earnings announcements led to widespread sales activity.  The Dividend Equity Strategy was repositioned during the second quarter in anticipation of increasing risk in the equity markets. Valuations were becoming stretched based on expected earnings growth and consensus assumptions that the Federal Reserve will raise short-term interest rates during the second half of the year.  During the second quarter we reduced our position in mid-cap stocks by 50% and now represent only 16% of the portfolio. This is our lowest weighting in small and mid-cap stocks since early 2009. This market sector outperforms during the early stages of an economic recovery and has historically underperformed when interest rates rise and the market cycle has peaked.  [+] Read More

What to do about Creeping Market Volatility

August 20, 2015
We recently wrote a post addressing volatility in China – in just one months’ time (mid-June to mid-July), the market there lost one third of its value.1 The wild swing in Chinese equities did not necessarily send shock waves through the global markets (which remain slightly positive on the year), but it did effectively raise eyebrows amongst investors curious if the downside volatility could be contagious. They might have a point. If you consider the ongoing Greece sovereign debt crisis, the persistent geopolitical threat posed by ISIS, concern over slowing growth rates in China, and the relative calm in the domestic equities markets (S&P 500) over the last few years, it feels like there could be an opening for increased volatility. Taking a look at the chart below, you can see that from 2012 – 2014, the market has had very few 5+% pullbacks, which draws a sharp contrast to the previous three years and to history in general. Indeed, moderate pullbacks happen frequently even in normal times. [+] Read More

Eagle's Skeppstrom on Greece and China's Woes

August 19, 2015
Eagle Asset Management's Richard Skeppstrom provides his colorful perspective on the recent market events including Greece, China and his candid friends. “Confused situation, imperfect advice One of my closest friends reached out to me on Father’s Day to say he thinks I am a better father than stock-picker. I was touched. And then more recently, another very dear friend said he enjoyed my writing but wished I’d say something. Lovely friends. Most folks just don’t care enough to give you such thinly veiled criticisms. [+] Read More

Granite Investment Partners - Interest Rates, Market Volatility

August 13, 2015
Granite Investment Partners provides their reflections on the second quarter. Topics discussed are mixed economic data, weaker GDP growth and the question on everyone's mind, when the Fed will raise interest rates.  "Reflections Market remains little changed amidst volatility The market remained largely range-bound in the quarter and for the year. The S&P 500 index ended the quarter basically flat, gaining +0.28%, bringing year-to-date total return for the first half of 2015 to +1.23%. Investors remain in somewhat of a holding pattern as they continue to monitor signals from the Federal Reserve in anticipation of the end of the prolonged period of easy domestic monetary policy. Market consensus has shifted expectations for the first rate hike forward into September, albeit with a fair amount of uncertainty due to conflicting economic data signals. [+] Read More

Will China's Market Volatility Affect Your Investment Portfolio?

August 12, 2015
China’s stock market was down over a third from mid-June to mid-July, wiping out almost $4 trillion in value. The market had risen some 150% over a year ending in June 1—so it’s actually still up from where it started in January 2—but nevertheless it has made for quite a media spectacle. [+] Read More

How to Reduce Your Exposure to Cybersecurity Threats

August 11, 2015
At WrapManager, we take your data security very seriously. With all the media coverage of data breaches in the media today, we wanted to provide information that could help reduce your risk of being compromised with a short list of suggested ways to protect yourself while still enjoying the ease of managing your life using email and the internet. Here are few things you can do to improve your cybersecurity: Consider making requests regarding your account by phone and make sure there is a verification process in place at your financial institution for withdrawal of funds; [+] Read More

5 Ways to Reduce Estate Taxes

August 6, 2015
Estate taxes are a hot-topic amongst both political parties and often big news when they are brought to the forefront of campaigns. While the parties battle back and forth, there are still some ways you can potentially reduce the impact of taxes on your estate. Using an estate planning checklist is a good place to start, as it helps you map out your estate planning strategy. Rather than take estate planning advice from just anyone, consider what you really want to do with your money and look for estate planning tips that are tailored to the plans, goals, and ideas you have. Here are five potential ways to lower your estate tax bill. [+] Read More